Abdullah Al Madani: In the Philippines democracy means just that - 'democrazy'
Special to Gulf News
In well-established democracies, politicians and political parties contesting elections have no problems in publicly conceding defeat, as every election produces winners and losers. In the Philippines, however, presidential candidates seem to ignore the fact that defeat is an integral part of the democratic process. Because their electoral campaigns are extremely personalised, rather than being connected to groups like political parties, defeat is unbearable and considered a personal embarrassment and insult. Thus, they try their best to avoid losing face by using all tools and justifications including, of course, allegations of massive rigging, vote-buying, and other forms of electoral fraud.
Nothing proves this better than the current political scene in the country. Despite the fact that the presidential elections have been concluded, the election saga is far from over. Supporters of the two main contenders, President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo and former movie star Fernando Poe Jr., are still engaged in rowdy debates, as if the race is not over yet. To an extent, this is because no winners for the posts of president and vice president have been proclaimed so far.
Long and complex process
As per the Philippine constitution, canvassing votes is a long and complex process. It took a month in the 1992 presidential elections and 22 days in the 1998 elections.
What complicated the situation, however, was word leaked by an official from the National Election Commission, NEC, saying that Arroyo had won 39.5 per cent of the vote as against 36.6 per cent for Poe, a margin of 900,000 votes. Poe and his supporters accused the NEC of violating the constitution by pre-empting the congressional count, saying it was an additional indication of a systematic attempt to steal victory from them.
They had earlier accused the Arroyo administration of defrauding the electorate, vote-buying and putting pressure on military personnel to vote for the president. It seems that even if it is proved that these claims are baseless, the Poe camp will not accept defeat and will foment a People Power-type uprising, similar to that which ousted dictator Ferdinand Marcos in 1986 and President Joseph Estrada in 2001. The problem with the Poe camp is its solid conviction that since Poe enjoys massive popularity as a movie-star, he would definitely win any election – if there is no electoral cheating. This is probably why many ordinary Filipinos ridicule their democracy and call it "democrazy".
Should the 22-man panel now conducting the actual canvass of votes announce Arroyo's victory, as is widely expected, she will begin her new six-year term with many headaches.
Mass protests and destabilisation plans to block her victory will follow. She should not – as a result of the embarrassment of being elected by a margin of less than one million votes - let up on the matter.
In the 1992 elections, former President Fidel Ramos came away with a similar, slim victory and was strict in dealing with the opposition's attempts to create doubts about his mandate.
One of the ways to win over Poe's supporters and others is to tackle the country's ailing economy, concentrating in particular on the pressing issue of unemployment. One among every ten Filipinos is jobless, as is evident from the endless queues of applicants seeking work abroad.
Genuine reforms
This, however, must be dealt with through broad and genuine economic reforms that include further liberalisation of the banking and telecommunication sectors, improvement of the tax collection system, nurturing small and medium-size enterprises with cheap credit, and integration of small firms into major companies' supply chains.
During her three years in power since public protests toppled her predecessor Estrada, Arroyo has been reluctant to launch reforms.
The reasons given for this included her fear of upsetting powerful business tycoons, who backed her to replace Estrada in 2001, and her intention to win big in the 2004 elections.
But situation now is different. She does not have to worry about seeking re-election, as constitutionally she cannot run for more than two terms. She is an elected leader with a popular mandate rather than being a replacement of an ousted president.
Besides, she has a solid majority backing her in Congress, including a Senate majority of 14 against nine for the opposition.
In brief, the ground is now set for Arroyo, not only to launch genuine reforms, but also to take decisive action in the troubled southern Muslim region of Mindanao, whose stability is necessary for attracting foreign investments and tourists, thereby creating new jobs and reducing huge budget deficits.
Will Arroyo use her new term in office to engrave her name in the country's history, as her father, former President Diasdado Macapagal did in the 1960s? Let us wait and watch.
Abdullah Al Madani is a Bahrain-based Gulf researcher and writer on Asian affairs.