Indonesia Ditargetkan Masuk Lima Besar Dunia
TEMPO Interaktif, Jakarta:Yayasan Indonesia Forum memproyeksikan Indonesia akan menjadi bagian dari lima besar kekuatan ekonomi dunia dengan pendapatan per kapita sebesar US$ 18 ribu pada 2030. Yayasan juga memproyeksikan, 30 perusahaan Indonesia akan masuk daftar Fortune 500 companies.
“Itu cita-cita maha besar," tutur Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono dalam acara pemaparan Visi Indonesia 2030 oleh Yayasan Indonesia Forum yang diketuai pengusaha Chairul Tanjung dengan para pembina Yayasan beberapa menteri ekonomi Kabinet Indonesia Bersatu, Kamis (22/3) di Istana Negara.
Presiden mengakui, kebangkitan bangsa Indonesia agak terlambat meski di abad 19, ekonomi Indonesia sudah berintegrasi dengan ekonomi kawasan dan dunia. Namun, ia yakin di abad 21 Indonesia dapat mencapai cita-citanya karena Indonesia selalu dapat mengatasi persoalan bangsa dan telah teruji dalam sejarah. “Bangsa besar adalah bangsa yang bisa mewujudkan mimpinya.”
Meski tidak bermaksud membandingkan, Presiden mengatakan, pemerintah juga telah memiliki rencana pembangunan nasional 2005-2025 yang tertuang dalam Undang-undang Nomor 17 tahun 2007.
UU itu menetapkan delapan langkah pembangunan di antaranya masyarakat yang bermoral, berbudaya dan beradab, masyarakat demokratis berbasis hukum, Indoensia yang aman,damai dan bersatu, pemerataan pembangunan yang berkeadilan, Indonesia asri dan lestari.
“Kuncinya adalah komitmen pemimpin nasional dan konsistensi kesinambungan dalam pembangunan 5 tahunan serta keberfihakan yang kuat terhadap rakyat,” tutur Presiden.
Dalam presentasinya, Yayasan Indonesia Forum mengatakan bahwa Indonesia yang saat ini masuk negara berpendapatan menengah bawah (lower middle income) akan mempertahankan posisinya hingga 2015.
Namun selanjutnya Indonesia akan masuk sebagai negara berpendapatan menengah ke atas (upper middle income) dengan asumsi pertumbuhan ekonomi riil 7,62 persen per tahun, laju inflasi rata-rata 4,95 persen per tahun, pertumbuhan penduduk rata-rata 1,12 persen per tahun. Kemudian pada 2030 memiliki pendapatan per kapita US$ 18 ribu. Dengan jumlah penduduk 285 jiwa, pendapatan domestik bruto (PDB) Indonesia mencapai US$ 5,1 triliun dan Indonesia masuk dalam 5 besar perekonomian dunia.
Perekonomian nasional akan dimotori sektor jasa yang akan mencapai momentumnya pada 2020 dan tumbuh lebih cepat dari sektor industri. Pada 2025, kontribusi sektor jasa dalam GDP akan mengungguli sektor industri.
“Proyeksi itu bukan tanpa perhitungan. Saya melihat Presiden justru sangat yakin meski kondisi masyarakat kita kurang mendukung. Kalau bercita-cita saja
tidak berani, bagaimana mau maju,” tegas Chairul Tanjung dalam konferensi pers di samping Istana Negara
Full Version: Indonesia 5th largest economy in the world by 2030
i think indonesia can increase their economy, by making direct investments with other foreign countries. and also by increasing exports to o/s countries, as we have countless resources that are a big demand in particular countries. Its just that they wont use their brains! errgh.
actually indonesia can do it ... IF indonesian people want to use his / her brains optimally ... ehm...
this think is too hard 4 indonesian people i think ... but i hope it will become true..
this think is too hard 4 indonesian people i think ... but i hope it will become true..
1. natural resources ---- checked
2. quantity of population ---- checked
3. quality of population ------ largely still do not capable to achieve that dream---- pending
2. quantity of population ---- checked
3. quality of population ------ largely still do not capable to achieve that dream---- pending
Could someone make a summary of it and translate it? 
Roughly, the article stated that one of the organization in Indonesia has predicted that indonesia might become the world fifth largest economy by 2030 with GDP per capita about US$ 18,000.
QUOTE(destoyasoy @ Mar 22 2007, 06:52 PM) [snapback]2808046[/snapback]
“Kalau bercita-cita saja
tidak berani, bagaimana mau maju,” tegas Chairul Tanjung dalam konferensi pers di samping Istana Negara
tidak berani, bagaimana mau maju,” tegas Chairul Tanjung dalam konferensi pers di samping Istana Negara
Does dream on something is a work of sin in Indonesia as to hedging all the population to even try it? I wonder what knowledge background behind the owner of this very statement has
(don't get it wrong, please). However, It's a very nice dream, indeed, but it doesn't work for me as it clearly obvious as a common strategy displayed by every newbie figure who's in attempt of having viewed by wider spectators in Indonesian political market. I'm talking about Chairul Tandjung here. It appears that he has stated himself to be available/wished to be strongly accounted for any future minister position at the next upcoming administration. Well then, why don't we get the concept he wished to applied tested here? Got any full document of it? I suggest the document's (Visi Indonesia 2030) review as our start. Shall we commence?
-Hiduplah Indonesia Raya-
Has any of you thought of the "alleged fact" (as in theory) that the standard economic statistical status (in this case, a generally favored status) of a nation is not an indication of the welfare (and therefore the wellbeing) of it's people (in essence, the group of people regarded as poor), and instead only signifies that a few group(s) of people have successfully obtained wealth, and all this without giving further information required to establish a conclusion of the distribution of wealth in a country. $hit that was hard to write.
Can any of you analyze this theory? I don't have a stand point in this currently and would like to know if this is true or otherwise.
Soalnya kalo bener, berarti membangun ekonomi yang kuat ga bertujuan ngebantu rakyat kecil kita memenuhi kebutuhan mereka dong
Ada pendapat?
Can any of you analyze this theory? I don't have a stand point in this currently and would like to know if this is true or otherwise.
Soalnya kalo bener, berarti membangun ekonomi yang kuat ga bertujuan ngebantu rakyat kecil kita memenuhi kebutuhan mereka dong
Ada pendapat?
See this study from PWC re. Indonesian in 2050
The report, entitled The World in 2050: How big will the emerging market economies get and how can the OECD compete?, reveals some potentially surprising conclusions.
http://www.pwc.com/extweb/pwcpublications....52571410060FF8B
Below is an article re. definition and characteristic of emerging market ...
The report, entitled The World in 2050: How big will the emerging market economies get and how can the OECD compete?, reveals some potentially surprising conclusions.
http://www.pwc.com/extweb/pwcpublications....52571410060FF8B
Below is an article re. definition and characteristic of emerging market ...
QUOTE
What Are Emerging Markets?
By Chuan Li (University of Iowa Center for International Finance and Development)
What are they?
Emerging markets are countries that are restructuring their economies along market-oriented lines and offer a wealth of opportunities in trade, technology transfers, and foreign direct investment. According to the World Bank, the five biggest emerging markets are China, India, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia. Other countries that are also considered as emerging markets include Mexico, Argentina, South Africa, Poland, Turkey, and South Korea. These countries made a critical transition from a developing country to an emerging market. Each of them is important as an individual market and the combined effect of the group as a whole will change the face of global economics and politics.
What makes them different?
Emerging markets stand out due to four major characteristics. First, they are regional economic powerhouses with large populations, large resource bases, and large markets. Their economic success will spur development in the countries around them; but if they experience an economic crisis, they can bring their neighbors down with them. Second, they are transitional societies that are undertaking domestic economic and political reforms. They adopt open door policies to replace their traditional state interventionist policies that failed to produce sustainable economic growth. Third, they are the world's fastest growing economies, contributing to a great deal of the world's explosive growth of trade. By 2020, the five biggest emerging markets' share of world output will double to 16.1 percent from 7.8 percent in 1992. They will also become more significant buyers of goods and services than industrialized countries. Fourth, they are critical participants in the world's major political, economic, and social affairs. They are seeking a larger voice in international politics and a bigger slice of the global economic pie.
What brings them into being?
There are two potential causes for the creation of emerging markets: the failure of state-led economic development and the need for capital investment. First, state-led economic development failed to produce sustainable growth in the traditional developing countries. This failure and its tremendous negative impact pushed those countries to adopt open door policies, and to change from the state's being in charge of the economy to facilitating economic growth along market-oriented lines. Second, the developing counties desperately needed capital to finance their development, but the traditional government borrowing failed to fuel the development process. In the past, the governments of the developing countries borrowed either from commercial banks or from foreign governments and multilateral lenders like the IMF and the Word Bank. This often resulted in heavy debt overload and led to a severe economic imbalance. The past track record of many developing countries also demonstrates their inability to well manage and efficiently operate the borrowed funds to support economic growth. In light of the unsatisfactory results of government borrowing, developing countries began to rely on equity investment as a means of financing economic growth. They seek to attract equity investment from private investors who will become their partners in development. To attract equity financing, a developing country has to establish the preconditions of a market economy and create a business climate that meets the expectations of foreign investors. This change in financing sources thus became another factor leading to the rise of emerging markets.
How do they change the traditional view of development?
The rise of emerging markets is changing the traditional view of development as follows. First, foreign "investment" is replacing foreign "assistance." Investing in the emerging markets is no longer associated with the traditional notion of providing development assistance to poorer nations. Second, emerging markets are rationalizing their trade relations and capital investment with industrialized countries. Trade and capital flows are directed more toward new market opportunities, and less by political consideration. Third, the increasing two-way trade and capital flows between emerging markets and industrialized countries reflect the transition from dependency to global interdependency. The accelerated information exchange, especially with the aid of the Internet, is integrating emerging markets into the global market at a faster pace.
What challenges do they face?
In their effort to create a market economy and to ensure sustainable development, emerging markets still face big challenges that come from fundamental problems associated with their traditional economic and political systems. A market economy requires those countries to redefine the role of the government in the development process and to reduce the government's undue intervention. Another serious problem that those countries have to confront is controlling corruption, which distorts the business environment and impedes the development process. An even more challenging task for those countries is to undertake structural reforms with their financial system, legal system, and political system, so as to guarantee a disciplined and stable economy that is relatively free of political disturbances and interference.
What are their prospects?
Emerging markets are the "key swing factor" in the future growth of world trade and global financial stability, and they will become critical players in global politics. They have a huge untapped potential and they are determined to undertake domestic reforms to support sustainable economic growth. If they can maintain political stability and succeed with their structural reforms, their future is promising.
By Chuan Li (University of Iowa Center for International Finance and Development)
What are they?
Emerging markets are countries that are restructuring their economies along market-oriented lines and offer a wealth of opportunities in trade, technology transfers, and foreign direct investment. According to the World Bank, the five biggest emerging markets are China, India, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia. Other countries that are also considered as emerging markets include Mexico, Argentina, South Africa, Poland, Turkey, and South Korea. These countries made a critical transition from a developing country to an emerging market. Each of them is important as an individual market and the combined effect of the group as a whole will change the face of global economics and politics.
What makes them different?
Emerging markets stand out due to four major characteristics. First, they are regional economic powerhouses with large populations, large resource bases, and large markets. Their economic success will spur development in the countries around them; but if they experience an economic crisis, they can bring their neighbors down with them. Second, they are transitional societies that are undertaking domestic economic and political reforms. They adopt open door policies to replace their traditional state interventionist policies that failed to produce sustainable economic growth. Third, they are the world's fastest growing economies, contributing to a great deal of the world's explosive growth of trade. By 2020, the five biggest emerging markets' share of world output will double to 16.1 percent from 7.8 percent in 1992. They will also become more significant buyers of goods and services than industrialized countries. Fourth, they are critical participants in the world's major political, economic, and social affairs. They are seeking a larger voice in international politics and a bigger slice of the global economic pie.
What brings them into being?
There are two potential causes for the creation of emerging markets: the failure of state-led economic development and the need for capital investment. First, state-led economic development failed to produce sustainable growth in the traditional developing countries. This failure and its tremendous negative impact pushed those countries to adopt open door policies, and to change from the state's being in charge of the economy to facilitating economic growth along market-oriented lines. Second, the developing counties desperately needed capital to finance their development, but the traditional government borrowing failed to fuel the development process. In the past, the governments of the developing countries borrowed either from commercial banks or from foreign governments and multilateral lenders like the IMF and the Word Bank. This often resulted in heavy debt overload and led to a severe economic imbalance. The past track record of many developing countries also demonstrates their inability to well manage and efficiently operate the borrowed funds to support economic growth. In light of the unsatisfactory results of government borrowing, developing countries began to rely on equity investment as a means of financing economic growth. They seek to attract equity investment from private investors who will become their partners in development. To attract equity financing, a developing country has to establish the preconditions of a market economy and create a business climate that meets the expectations of foreign investors. This change in financing sources thus became another factor leading to the rise of emerging markets.
How do they change the traditional view of development?
The rise of emerging markets is changing the traditional view of development as follows. First, foreign "investment" is replacing foreign "assistance." Investing in the emerging markets is no longer associated with the traditional notion of providing development assistance to poorer nations. Second, emerging markets are rationalizing their trade relations and capital investment with industrialized countries. Trade and capital flows are directed more toward new market opportunities, and less by political consideration. Third, the increasing two-way trade and capital flows between emerging markets and industrialized countries reflect the transition from dependency to global interdependency. The accelerated information exchange, especially with the aid of the Internet, is integrating emerging markets into the global market at a faster pace.
What challenges do they face?
In their effort to create a market economy and to ensure sustainable development, emerging markets still face big challenges that come from fundamental problems associated with their traditional economic and political systems. A market economy requires those countries to redefine the role of the government in the development process and to reduce the government's undue intervention. Another serious problem that those countries have to confront is controlling corruption, which distorts the business environment and impedes the development process. An even more challenging task for those countries is to undertake structural reforms with their financial system, legal system, and political system, so as to guarantee a disciplined and stable economy that is relatively free of political disturbances and interference.
What are their prospects?
Emerging markets are the "key swing factor" in the future growth of world trade and global financial stability, and they will become critical players in global politics. They have a huge untapped potential and they are determined to undertake domestic reforms to support sustainable economic growth. If they can maintain political stability and succeed with their structural reforms, their future is promising.
That's means in 2045, Indonesian 100 Years Golden Anniversary, Indonesia will be a great, influential, prosperous, and advance nation.... 
Yaay.... But I'll be old by then.... 
Yaay.... But I'll be old by then....
QUOTE(Majapahitans @ Jan 1 2008, 08:35 PM) [snapback]3396390[/snapback]
.... But I'll be old by then....
Never too old to add to the GDP. In 2045 I will be 77 and I think I will still be able to enjoy the prosperity of Indonesia.
Mmh around 2030 I should buy some land there then hehe.
I was trying to push for more Indonesian content at Ishka where I hoped to secure an influencial position, but that deal fell apart.
Now I am searching for some other idea for work that will benefit Indonesian growth and better trade relations with Australia.
Now I am searching for some other idea for work that will benefit Indonesian growth and better trade relations with Australia.
I think Indonesia definitely has the potential and I wish them the best of luck.
Soon asians will rule the world
Soon asians will rule the world
i don't think so
Sorry, I didn't share same opinian with you. I believe Indonesia will achieve good thing in near future if they can do right thing with themselves. They have a lot of people, and people was the driven force in any economy blooming.
QUOTE(gadismelayusejati @ Jan 7 2008, 04:07 PM) [snapback]3409394[/snapback]
i don't think so
Why...? can't stand if the foreign review favour us? sublimed jealousy? or refuse to believe that Indonesia will be far better in the future? even surpassed your beloved Malaysia...?
Mark my word, with huge population and natural resources, if we do right, good governance, democracy, get rid corruption, we'll be faar advance in the future.
Dengan satu syarat: kita tetap bersatu
QUOTE(Bohemian @ Jan 9 2008, 08:29 PM) [snapback]3413701[/snapback]
Dengan satu syarat: kita tetap bersatu
Our weakness is unable to manage our resources properly. Good government will be able to manage this big country
Doa ku untuk bangsa ini
This is a "lo-fi" version of our main content. To view the full version with more information, formatting and images, please click here.