QUOTE(smiter @ May 26 2007, 06:36 AM)

That may be true, but they don't have as many service members in the first place. The majority of that money goes into maintaining the technological edge they enjoy. Both Korea's have huge reserve forces, and well trained too, but Japan's forces are better equipped all around, and they are especially effective for self defense.
Another problem is that the JSDF, most of the time,
overpay for their equipment. Take a look at their Type 90 MBT, for example. USD$6.6m a piece--the most expensive tank in the world barring the K2. Their F-2 is over a USD$100m a pop, the most expensive fighter aircraft barring the F-22A. A gignormous portion of their budget goes into building, operating and maintaining those equipment, all for the sake of being "purely indigenous".
QUOTE
I don't see much point discussing nuclear capabilities - the whole argument quickly descends into M.A.D.-ness. N. Korea is only worth mentioning because it is a rogue state known for its unpredictability and outward defiance of major Western powers. S. Korea on the other hand would never have a nuclear war with Japan. As it stands, neither country is nuclear armed, but both could be if they wanted to be (it's not hard). The point is that they are both wealthy, industrialised countries connected to the global market, with way to much to lose, and they play by the rules, unlike North Korea.
This sounds about right to me.
True. No nation-state is
ever going to start lobbing nuclear weapons at each other. North Korea, on one hand, might not look as if they will follow those rules, but they
know that, in order to survive, they need South Korea, and in order for South Korea to give North aid, then the South needs peace and stability with its neighboring East Asian nations. So, no, I doubt that Kim Jong-Il will ever press the button lest he wouldn't be able to drink cognac and eat huge buffet to feed his belly.
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Honestly, I'm no expert and you likely know more about military strategy than I do, but I don't think I need to point out that this is not Rambo. The idea of the Norks sending in a crack squad and tearing sh1t up, sounds about as far fetched as a Hollywood action flick. Basically North Korea is a joke - it's economy is on par with the poorest African nations, constantly on the brink of famine (relying on foreign aid to survive), and all it really has going for it is a huge, mean, totalitarian run army. Its manpower makes it a threat to South Korea, not to mention the artillery aimed at Seoul, but it's no real threat to Japan at all. They could never launch a land invasion, the Japanese fleet would prevent it. And even if they were to land a crack squad it wouldn't amount to anything overall. In short, North Korea is not a real threat to Japan at this time, and it never will be unless it gets real, reliable nuclear and ballistic missile capabilites (which they don't have at present, and by the time they do, Japan will certainly have adapted).
That's why North Korea has huge special forces. Special forces are much cheaper and efficient to operate and maintain, as long as they stay out of direct confrontations. North Korean commandos will fight with whatever resources that they can get; if they run out of rations, they will pillage; if they run out of ammunition, they will just pick up enemy's weapons and continue shooting; if they can't find any weapons, then they will just pick up a rock and bash their enemies to death. And, most of all, they aren't motivated by any religious agendas like the Muslim extremists, who first thought that Allah would protect them against their enemies and later found out that Allah wasn't there for them at all and they had to run away in fear. Not with the North Korean commandos. They
know that they will die eventually on the battlefield, which is part of their brainwashing program, and won't hesitate to to rush into the fight and stay there until the end.
As for technological advantage, take a look at Iraq, for example. The U.S. went in there with a show of force only to find out later that Ali is cracking their vehicles open with primitive weapons that would have made WWII German engineers snort at them. Asymmetrical warfare is what makes North Koreans frightening. They've been practicing that for the past half a century against South Korea in small numbers, and the South Korean military, no matter how large or how higher-tech than the North, is still having a major migraine trying to come up with ways to counter it. It's far worse for Japan, with its dense population and huge targets of opportunities packed together like sardines.