QUOTE(freewin2k @ Dec 20 2007, 12:54 PM) [snapback]3378068[/snapback]
First of all, China already own some ports in NK for the next 50 year, so even there is unification ( which i doubt it will happen any time soon),
Thats when the Korean government nulls the lease and kicks them out.
the new gov't still have to honor the lease agreemnet.
No they dont have to.
and the loan that China offered to the NK will also be re-pay by the new gov't.
The Chinese didnt offer the North much to gain access to those mines and ports. The future government of the North can simply kick the Chinese out and give them back their payments and take the mines and ports for themselves for no cost.
War between China and Korea will be more devastated to Korean people due to the size of the land and Seoul alone have more than 1/3 of the Korean population.
Assuming this isnt a nuclear war.
If China were to ever declare war on Korea it would lose horribly. The amount of devastation Korea endures would be minuscule compared to what would happen to China. What can China do to Korea? The PLAAF is inferior to the ROK airforce. Chinese planes would be shot down with little effort especially when Korea is on the defensive. The PLAAN is a junk navy not designed to fight in foreign waters. What can Chinese ships do against Koreas sejong class Aegis destroyers? The PLA army is poorly trained and its equipment is inferior to what the ROK army uses. Korean tanks outgun and outrange Chinese tanks. Korean soldiers are better trained and will also be better motivated. Since this is a defensive war Korea would have the advantage thanks to fortified defensive positions. Furthermore China doesnt have the logistics to supply and mobilize a several million man army into the Korean peninsula. China could fire a couple of missiles at Korea but they would probably be shot down before they do any damage or go off course due to the sad state of Chinese missile technology(which can be jammed). The missiles that do manage to hit something probably wont do much if anything as long as it isnt nuclear.
And assuming that China somehow decides to still declare war on Korea. Thats when then the international community sanctions and blockades China while Korea, US and their allies invade China and overthrows the CCP. Dont use the Korean war as an example of Chinese military prowess. The US wasnt serious on declaring a full out invasion of China due to possible Soviet intervention. Numerical advantage is becoming increasingly irrelevant in modern warfare.
Just firebomb Chinese farmlands and watch the entire country starve. Or send in stealth bombers, ballistic missiles to destroy Chinese factories and watch Chinas military capacity diminish to zero. A million man wave by the CCP wouldnt work in todays modern wars. A single MOAB is capable of leveling an area the size of 6 or more football fields. A single football field can house tens of thousands of people. If China were to send a 3 million man army they would be easily detected and bombed by planes and strafed by attack helicopters before they can even reach their destination.
China declaring war on Korea would be suicide.
As for Goguryeo-Sui war, Sure they did stop Sui army from conquered the region, but Chinese army keep coming back and in the end, who is the ultimate Winner?
Korea was the ultimate winner. Goguryeo was beaten by a Shilla-Tang alliance. Not by the Tang alone. Tang wasnt strong enough to beat Goguryeo by themselves. After Goguryeos fall the Tang army backs tabbed Shilla and attacked them as well. Shilla fought the Tang and decisively beat them. The Tang were then driven out of the peninsula and thats why Korea exists today. Meanwhile in the North a Goguryeo general by the name of Daejoyeong defeated the Tang and created another Korean kingdom by the name of Balhae. So basically the inhabitants of the Korean peninsula were the ultimate winner in that whole Tang affair.
China would have a much harder time today then in the past. Nevertheless a war is what Korea hopes to avoid although im not so sure with China.