QUOTE(Gameonline @ May 3 2009, 06:31 PM) [snapback]4218125[/snapback]
First of all, when the entire population of a country virtually lives below the threshold of poverty, you are not going to have a lot of geniuses, let alone innovations.
That was the case for the entire world for thousands of years, yet Europe managed to produce an impressive Renaissance, a dazzling Enlightenment, and a unprecedented Industrial Revolution.
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Without more knowledge-capital, it is virtually impossible to out-innovate another country, especially in the highest portion of complexity-ladder. Costly knowledge-installation is a major element of knowledge-capital to a far greater extent than human-capital is.
Possibly.
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Secondly, the most probable reason, and by far, why Japan lags in science is because they have adopted a completely different policy than Western countries regarding research and development with very little investment made for basic sciences. The reason why Japan is adopting such a different approach is most probably because of a lack of natural resources, which is of little concern among Western countries. Japan cannot afford to not enjoy a large trade surplus with the rest of the world as demographic and economic problems will certainly compromise stability of the region in the future, but to a lesser extent than China. It is way more prudent and wise for Japan to direct most of its resources in finding commercial applications of innovations made in basic sciences by other countries for greater export rather than in basic sciences.
Saying that it's a conscious government choice is fine, but does not suggest how it might be fixed. Japan is not likely to have more natural resources in the future, so what you're basically saying here is that the futures of East Asian countries will be the same, or even dimmer, than they are now (due to "demographic and economic problems" compromising stability).
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Also, Finland shows far less standard deviation than South Korea, let alone Japan. Lastly, Eastern Europe has hardly produced the same amount of talent than their Western peers. It is quite unlikely to be of genetic origin. I don't think I need to tell you what is the most likely explanation for this disparity.
The idea that variance of performance (as measured by SD) correlates with genius is an unsubstantiated straw man, to begin with. But unlike you, I am not so quick to rule out genetic explanations. IQ and PISA are the best of the worst, so to speak, in terms of measuring g, which is to say that they're poor measurements to begin with. Their correlation with income is not even as high as people want to think, and might simply be an artifact of the way modern societies are structured.
Genius, however, is real, and can be defined by the degree to which a thinker transcends existing paradigms to bring us new and profound insights into the nature of reality. The characteristic of a genius, defined in the classic sense, is that of a magnificent, sustained set of achievements far beyond that expected for most human beings. Geniuses are seldom one-shot thinkers - they usually produce great bodies of work within their lifetimes that revolutionize thinking in a variety of areas. Many ancient geniuses were polymaths (ie Leonardo Da Vinci), but due to the specialization of science modern geniuses tend to be more focused. Even so, they are very prolific achievers, and tend to be synergistic - ie bringing together a variety of previous research and observations into a lucid, awe-inspiring whole.
Are any modern exams capable of predicting genius? No, they are not. To this end, can we say that East Asians are less capable of genius than white Europeans? No, it doesn't. That does not mean, however, that genius does not exist, or that genius does not have a genetic component. In the inductive view of truth (in which we say, "if the sun rises today, then it is likely to rise tomorrow, because we have not seen a day in which the sun did not rise"), it is possible to state, with some confidence, that because white Europeans have been the kernel of ingenuity for the past few thousand years, there is likely something exceptional about them - genetic or otherwise - that is not present in other populations. But this isn't possible to prove, so it is at best a (contested) theory. Still, I think it is imprudent to believe, on faith alone, that the exceptionalism of white Europeans cannot be genetic in nature. Culture, after all, is itself a product of the environment, which includes the environment of the human body - ie genes. Different populations produce different cultures both because of the physical differences of the regions in which they live, and the biological differences of their own genetic expressions. Of course, because genes are always expressed in physical environments, environment matters. But because genes
do differ between populations, we cannot rule them out as explanations.
To this end, to answer your particular issue of Eastern Europe vs. Western Europe, I would like to point out that there is genetic variation across Europe. You can't paint Europe with a broad brush, no more than you can paint any other region of the world with such a brush. Heterogeneity is the rule of human populations, rather than the exception. That is not to say there aren't clear geographical lineages ("clusters" in marker analysis), and small changes at certain levels of the genetic structure can produce large variations in phenotype.
To sum up, is there anything that suggests, right now, that the lack of East Asian genius isn't a product of the socio-economic and polito-cultural environment of the region? No, there is not. But that does not mean there can't be. I tend to think that personality research might yield more interesting results, in this area, than IQ research, because there
are large personality differences between East Asians and white Europeans, whereas there aren't with respect to IQ. Having a particular sort of personality might very well help someone become a genius, since with respect to achievement, it is not only capability that matters, but also drive and interest.