QUOTE (BurdenOfAges @ Aug 5 2009, 11:39 PM)

The parallels between European and East Asian history have always fascinated me. There are so many similarities, if one really cares to look, in their respective developments. Yet, with the modern age, I draw a line.
The Imjin War was East Asia's version of an intracivilizational civil war, and it did come to a decisive end. The "World Wars" were ultimately the spillover of the European civil war to Asia. Japan, by that point, was really acting the part of an European colonial power playing the Great Game, as opposed to an East Asian power looking to inherit the Mandate of Heaven.
This would also explain why a Pan-Asian consciousness is not in the making. Asian countries are increasingly moving away from the common root (Chinese or, if you prefer, Eastern civilization) that historically defined them. This is also why you see the resurgence of alternate national narratives - ie "Altaic unity," "Turan," etc.
Unlike Europe, which has accepted and internalized its collective Western identity, East Asian countries are engaged in the destruction of their own version of the same, largely because it has, in their eyes, failed them. Thus, you get movements like the Cultural Revolution in China, Datsu-A Ron in Japan, mass Christian conversion in South Korea, and so on. The basic motif of all these movements is the same: East Asia must cease to be East Asia, as it was for thousands of years, in order to join the West in the modern world.
At some level, this is an act of self-delusion. East Asians are not Westerners and cannot be. Aristotle can never take the place of Confucius. The Roman Empire can never mean as much to East Asians as Han and Tang China. The Vikings can never be the Mongols. Barring the final victory of the West - in which its civilization truly becomes an universal civilization that is everything to everyone, East Asia cannot become a part of the West - because there is nothing "East Asian" about Western history, civilization, or even values. They will always be the odd kids standing by the door, looking in but unable to enter.
What the future of East Asia will be, I do not know, but it does not seem likely that an East Asian equivalent of the European Union - and its attendant creation of a Pan-European identity - will appear. In fact, if the East Asians on this board are of any indication, the future of East Asia will be full of conflict and fragmentation.
You make one of the biggest and most common errors that many western observers make on Asia. That is, you confuse the Asian will to industrialize with the intent of Asians to want to become Western. The break with the past has less to do with Asians wanting to be culturally western than to emulate the success of the western economy. Asians want the ECONOMIC SUCCESS of the west, not to become the west. If Japan really did want to become western culturally, it would have opened its borders to immigration and revamped its education to be taught exclusively in English. If Japan really wanted to become western, there would not be signs in bars and hot spring hotels saying "Japanese Only". If China wanted to become western, it would not limit foreign movies to be shown to 20 per year. If Korean wanted to be western, there would not be restrictions on foreign (western) entertainment on TV broadcasts.
Today, if you tried to force them to become western culturally, the surge of nationalism would rise up and drown any Asian leader who dares to try. In fact, this nationalism leads us to why a Pan Asian consciousness is still a tough sell at the moment. The surge of nationalism, rooted mostly in old WW2 wounds, are there in all 3 east asian countries, preventing them from establishing close ties. However, even as the economic reality of the big 3 force them to be closer together than ever, the WW2 wounds are going to fade into oblivion. We're already seeing signs of a nascent Pan-Asian forum in ASEAN+3 summits over the past 2 years. Over time, as China develops economically and the regional powers increasingly coalescing into a single economic entity, Pan-Asian consciousness is less a theory than a foregone conclusion. It will take time, but that time is shorter than you think, even as American influence wanes in the region.
Third point, the European Union is not as culturally united as you think under the moniker of the "West". The EU is more of a economic union of expedience and a fragile political union at best. As it tries to absorb more and more nations under its belt (Turkey, for example, a muslim nation). It will also absorb more and more divergent interests. All is well in the EU when the economy's well, but if it ever comes down to the point where debt overwhelms the euro, I'd be surprised to see the EU survive intact. As I said, the waves of change are just starting to form, and the next couple of decades will see a drastic power shift from West to East.