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Dokiroimaka
http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/natio.../116_54863.html

QUOTE
Conservative scholars Wednesday called on the government Wednesday to convince Chinese and U.S. policymakers to believe that a unified Korea would not pose a threat to them, but would instead create an opportunity.

Nations would benefit from "a Korea that will be whole, free and at peace" as it is the key to peaceful Northeast Asia, they said in papers prepared for a seminar to be held today, organized by the conservative think tank Hansun Foundation for Freedom & Happiness.

For the goal to be achieved, they argued, South Korea needs to help North Korea reconstruct its almost bankrupt economy with technical assistance on export-led economic growth.

According to them, the U.S. and China want the status quo on the Korean Peninsula as the two countries believe unification would risk their interests.

"Despite the North's nuclear tests, twice in 2006 and this year, China tried to bolster bilateral ties with North Korea. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao's visit (and promise to provide economic assistance) to the North in October illustrates this," said Prof. Oh Syeong-ryeol of Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.

"The United States and North Korea are looking at the chance of holding bilateral talks."

There is a discrepancy, though, between Oh's observation and the official position of the United States on the North's tactics, given that the U.S. State Department and diplomats urged North Korea to stop resorting to provocations and return to the multilateral talks.

U.S. officials stressed on several occasions that the purpose of direct U.S.-North Korea meetings would be to encourage the North to come back to the six-party talks.

Yet, Oh's view on China's North Korea policy is supported by the International Crisis Group (ICG).

The ICG's latest report found that China separated North Korea's nuclear issues from bilateral ties and that there was no major shift in China's supportive policy toward North Korea in the wake of a series of provocations by Pyongyang this year.

According to Oh, both the United States and China, who do not trust each other, are racing to expand their influence on the Korean Peninsula, and their competition has played a role in the lingering status quo - a divided Korea -- on the peninsula.

"South Korea losing its footing in terms of the North's nuclear issue is another consequence of those two nations' game on the Korean peninsula," he said.

Prof. Hong Sung-ki of Ajou University said power states' preference of maintaining the status quo has only helped the North Korean regime survive.

"One should keep in mind that only a stable and strong unified Korea will be a sustainable solution to peaceful Northeast Asia. And South Korea should convince those nations to share the belief through diplomacy," Hong said.

The experts put forth a procedural unification roadmap that starts with the reconstruction of the North Korean economy and ends with unification.

The four-stage plan they unveiled requires the two Koreas to follow a preparation period in North Korea in the first stage, modernization in the second, industrialization in the third and finally unification.


Some people are so naive, they don't see the truth behind.
Are they just that dumb or they just wanted to believe?
Kaosq
Just out of curiosity, would you guys agree to unification if it meant North Korea would be in charge?
kaizen
QUOTE (Kaosq @ Nov 4 2009, 07:59 PM) *
Just out of curiosity, would you guys agree to unification if it meant North Korea would be in charge?

LoL, what kind of retarded question is that?
Kaosq
QUOTE (kaizen @ Nov 4 2009, 06:01 PM) *
LoL, what kind of retarded question is that?

What? Is North Korea not the "true Korea" devoid of "imperialist Western influences"? laugh.gif
Dokiroimaka
^ North Korea can't even feed its own people.
What make you think North Korean regime will be in control after unification of Korea.

Looks like we have troll here posting useless argument.
kaizen
QUOTE (Kaosq @ Nov 4 2009, 08:17 PM) *
What? Is North Korea not the "true Korea" devoid of "imperialist Western influences"? laugh.gif

So another half korean population can starve to death?

Nice try, troll.
MeteorXY
Is there any WARs going on in asia?
I don't believe so.
Maintain the current situation is the best way to keep peace in Asia
Kaosq
QUOTE (kaizen @ Nov 4 2009, 06:35 PM) *
So another half korean population can starve to death?

Nice try, troll.

Troll? You do notice I was kidding right?
Dokiroimaka
QUOTE (MeteorXY @ Nov 5 2009, 02:11 PM) *
Is there any WARs going on in asia?
I don't believe so.
Maintain the current situation is the best way to keep peace in Asia



^ actually there is cold war going on at East Asia.
Nuclear and conventional arm race is already happening.

Maintaining current situation only offers more suffering of North Korean people.

I'm presumed your Chinese right? This is why the article is all about.
Did you actually read it? It says both China and U.S don't feel right about Korean unification.
Pentasori
A unified Korea could potentially double the Korean economy and population, along with opening a new market relatively untapped by capitalism. As much as those scholars may try, I think China will still stand firm in its belief that a unified Korea is a bad thing for it. An open North Korea will be competing against China due to its cheap labor status, and China will be confronted with more problems with the US, as if the Americans manage to find an excuse to remain in an unified Korea, China would be getting some 50,000+ Yankees right on its border.
Dokiroimaka
^ Not really, it won't double the population, but newly open North Korean market will make unified Korean market more attractive for DFI.
With wealth of North Korea's minerals & iron ore, South Korea will benefit from it, thus this will put less pressure on resource import for Korea.

Unified Korea means, North Koreans won't be cheap labor economy.
What Chinese and American are worrying is their political influence over Korea will be reduced aftermath of unification.

Unified Korea could potentially will replace Japan in terms of military & economy, also means China have to step up their military establishments near Korea-China boarders.
Also, China's Anti-government movements and asylum seekers can reach Korea via land.

For U.S, they can't Korea to buy their arms anymore and can't use "cold war" excuse to stay inside of Korea.
Thus, U.S will eventually have to leave.
MeteorXY
QUOTE (Dokiroimaka @ Nov 5 2009, 01:09 AM) *
It says both China and U.S don't feel right about Korean unification.

Both China and US deem that maintain the current statue is the only way to keep peace in Aisa.
North is far away from bankrupt. So it would not just unite with the south. Even if US and China give up their interests in Korean Peninsula, Korea would not be united peacefully. South is not too much stronger than North militarilly. It is hard to pressure the north's leader give up their power without trying.
Dokiroimaka
QUOTE (MeteorXY @ Nov 6 2009, 02:25 PM) *
Both China and US deem that maintain the current statue is the only way to keep peace in Aisa.
North is far away from bankrupt. So it would not just unite with the south. Even if US and China give up their interests in Korean Peninsula, Korea would not be united peacefully. South is not too much stronger than North militarilly. It is hard to pressure the north's leader give up their power without trying.


Yes, in expense of suffering of North Koreans and instability of Korean peninsula.
It's good for China and U.S, but not good for Koreans.

Boo, North Korean military don't even have enough ammos and oils to fuel their war machines.
According to experts, North Korean military won't last 30 days of fighting when SK have enough resource to last upto 2~3 years.

North Korea's defense budget was only 19% of South Korea's.
South Korean army, navy and airforce have better & more modernized weapons.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_count...ry_expenditures

If war ever happens, it would be North Korea will get batter by South Korea's war machines.

Without China, Russia and US involvement, South Korea can pressure North Korea to give up.
It's always China, Russia and US that make things difficult.

Kim Il Seung (father of Kim Jong Il) wanted to have peaceful unification in return for safety of his family just before his sudden death 1994.
According to Hwang Jangyop (NK's 2nd highest rank statement who fled to South) told South that Kim senior was looking forward to unification under joint government just like Germany. But Kim senior son Kim junior wanted all of NK under his command, some says Jong Il killed his own father blinded by his hunger for power.



KimYuShin2
can this unification also place more weight on the balance in dokdo dispute? or east sea dispute? north korea is currently their own entity regarding the disputes. i would guess that there would be more problems than solutions. we can only hope.
Joaharu
But, North Korea has the guns.

Political power comes from the barrel a gun.

Mao tse Dong.
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