India is insisting again and again that the stance of India and China is unified and China has promised to stand by India on this issue. All I can do is laugh. In sadness at our own naivety. If anyone in the Indian administration believes that, they are in for a rude surprise.
China has no regard for such mundane things as morals or respect for word etc. It believes in only one thing. Its own self-interest. It says what ever appeases its partner and then does as it wants.
You watch. China will negotiate a side-deal with the US on this and leave India in the lurch. India will be left standing stupidly as the only big nation against the pact thus making everyone look reasonable and India as the reason for the climate pact's problems.
I was a student in 1992 avidly following the NPT debate. I remember India refusing to sign the NPT while the negotiations were going on and China refusing too and claiming that it was with India and that their stand was unified. India kept asking the US to negotiate with it. The US kept saying that it would come to India after talking to the UNSC Permanent members. I watched as the US negotiated with France for them to complete their tests and then watched as the US negotiated with China and accepted that it would not be penalized for proliferation to Pakistan. Then once the US had completed the negotiations, it announced that it could not meet every country on this issue and refused to negotiate with India. When India desperately reached out to its friend, China, the Chinese brazenly lectured India on the importance of non-proliferation (see the irony) and refused to support India. And now India is not a nuclear member of the NPT despite testing in 1974 (18 years before the NPT was signed) and despite having a stellar non-proliferation record, one which even NPT darling China can't claim having proliferated to Pakistan, Iran and North Korea.
So my friends, get ready for this again.